Published on 01 July 2020

Lockdown was bookended by spikes in spending. Lines snaked outside supermarkets as
we stocked up, ready to bunker down. During lockdown we spent less, and average bank
balances started lifting. Once out of lockdown, the data shows a clear release of some
pent-up demand (and spending of lockdown savings).

jarrod_kerr

Jarrod Kerr

Chief Economist

Mary-jo-vegara-profile

Mary Jo Vergara

Senior Economist

Jeremy Couchman

Jeremy Couchman

Former Kiwibank Senior Economist

The sugar rush continues in level 1

And it’s looking more and more like a return to normal in some areas of the economy. We took a good, hard, LONG, look at our backyards, and decided we needed more. More of us ordered pools, fixed fences, laid pavers, and even bought pets. I guess we’re better prepared for more (forced) time at home.

Can the spend up continue? We’re still wary of the damage done and the impact to activity. The drawbridge into NZ won’t be let down anytime soon. Greater domestic tourism goes some way. But foreign tourism is a hard void to fill. And overshadowing all of this, is the rise in unemployment. The rise in unemployment may dampen future spending, and investment.

High above lockdown lows

Spending on hospitality has lifted from the lockdown lows, and is still well above-average. Our spending online continues to climb. We’re entering an even more digital world. The structural shift to online has accelerated.

Treating ourselves and our pets

As we emerged from lockdown, it wasn’t just us needing some pampering. Our (new) pets too have enjoyed a spending spree. As clothing stores reopened, so did our wallets. And as we prepare for winter, we expect spending to remain elevated.

Home improvement

Out of lockdown, we got handy with a hammer. DIY is up with a surge in home renovations. And with our overseas trip now cancelled, we could do with a new pool, and couch.

In some areas, our spending is stabilising

The run on alcohol and meat is starting to come off. Petrol too has returned to pre-Covid levels. But prices are lower today. So we must be buying more (in volume).

Sold-out rugby stands, but empty cinema seats

Actors must still be in quarantine. Because not much is showing at the cinemas. Netflix continues to dominate our screens. Level 1 means we celebrate the return of sport. And we’ve taken advantage.

From foreign cruises to local luges

NZ’s borders will remain shut for some time. The absence of foreign tourism leaves a gaping hole. Domestic tourism goes some way to fill the void. And we’ve been surprised by the surge in accommodation spending and travel. International flights are being transferred domestically. We’re booking Kiwi holidays.