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Kiwi Economics

We make the big economic issues, here and overseas, relevant to Kiwi. Stay up-to-date with detailed economic analysis and forecasts from our economists who provide topical and unique insights into the New Zealand economy.

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Latest commentary & insights

The RBNZ paused to assess. It was a wait and see. And we still see more cuts required

Our Take on the RBNZ July Monetary Policy Review. After six straight meetings, 225bps of cuts, the RBNZ took a breather. The official cash rate remains at 3.25%. Global uncertainty remains high and inflation looks set to rise toward 3%. The RBNZ is taking a wait and see approach. Come back in August.

Markets, Mystics & Mayhem podcast: Ep38

Greg Byrne, General Manager of Commercial Banking, joins us on this week’s episode to share insights into how Kiwi businesses are faring in the current climate. Optimism for the months ahead continues to grow, but the recession scars are still fresh

It’s an eventful week ahead. Some of it is exciting, some scary

It’s all on this week. We’re focused on the RBNZ’s rate decision on Wednesday. But there’s also the RBA tomorrow. And of course, the 90-day tariff deadline is looming. Let the games begin.

Markets, Mystics & Mayhem podcast: Ep37

Our Financial Markets Trader, Mieneke Perniskie, joins us on this week’s episode to dive into the world of currency. Recent events and headlines suggest the Kiwi should be in the 50s. Yet here we are with the bird close to breaching 61c. Broader themes are in play.

Reality bites, as business optimism improves

Our take on the NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion June 2025. The gap between hopeful optimism and the harsh reality of daily business, continues to widen. Meanwhile firms are saying they are feeling less price pressure and passing on less pressure.

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Economic topics to keep you in the know

Economic landscape

Our economists review key economic developments and what they may mean for you.

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Interest rate commentary

Read about the latest interest rate insights, trends and predictions and how they're relevant to Kiwi businesses.

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Housing market insights

Commentary on the housing market in Aotearoa and predictions on what could lie ahead.

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Meet our economists

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Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist

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Mary Jo Vegara, Senior Economist

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Sabrina Delgado, Economist

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